In the gerentocracy of the LDS Church, actuarial tables can be (and have been) used to forecast leadership a few decades in the future. Though these predictions are generally quite accurate, surprises happen. Using historic actuarial tables, this presentation demonstrates four time periods where reality deviated most from the statistically most likely path, then presents four corresponding alternative history vignettes with particular emphasis on humanitarian ramifications.

Christian N. K. Anderson
Cheryl Bruno
Joseph Geisner